Workstation report series – Professional Computing Markets and Technologies

Description

Providing the most comprehensive look at the workstation market available, the JPR Workstation report series delves into breadth and depth across all slices of the workstation and professional GPU markets, including:

• A complete breakdown of the traditional workstation market by units, revenue, platforms, key components, verticals, geography, and vendors
• Workstation market forecast
• A complete breakdown of the workstation GPU market by units and revenue, across product classes (including integrated graphics) and vendors

JPR’s market sizing and segmentation is based primarily on bottom-up analysis from data collected from the major professional graphics IHVs and workstation OEMs profiled in this report.

Table of Contents

• Tables
• Figures
• Navigating this report
• Methodology
  • Some – but not all – white-box coverage
• Market highlights
  • Q4’22
  • 2022
• The workstation market in Q4’22 contracts more severely in Q4’22, with impacts from fading pandemic, Intel platform cycle, and preemptive belt-tightening
  • Fixed workstation market segments
    • Sub-entry 1S models are plumbing the low end and blurring lines … but adoption is now in reverse, for good reason 8
• Mobile workstation market segmentation
• The fluid, shifting market mix: fixed versus mobile workstations
  • The recent pandemic-fueled surge in mobiles and corresponding dip in fixed machines
  • Did Q4 hint at any return to the typical pre-pandemic mix?
    • Mobile workstations continue YoY decline in Q4’22
    • Fixed workstation sales reverse course in H2’22: but take with a hefty grain of salt given impact of Intel’s long-awaited Sapphire Rapids
  • The workstation market finding its footing heading into 2023: will short-term fixed tailwind make up for mobile sales digestion?
  • A closer look behind the mobile’s bullish run: yes, work-from-home … but there’s more in play
• Workstation component and configuration metrics
  • Workstation OSes: Windows (Pro and Pro for Workstations) vs. Linux
  • Base workstation platforms / CPUs
    • Intel the dominant CPU supplier, but its position threatened
      • Xeon had taken majority share from Core in fixed workstations, but the script has flipped dramatically… and Intel seems OK with that
        Intel now supporting ECC on Core brand platforms, a move likely to push Xeon even further to minority position
      • But let’s hold off on relegating Xeon to boutique status quite yet … Sapphire Rapids has arrived
      • 2S (dual socket) attach rates
      • Xeon backtracking — now essentially gone — in mobiles as well
  • AMD’s traveled a winding road in workstations, one that had led to an absence in CPUs
    … but it’s back with Zen to compete
    • Things are changing, as workstation-caliber CPUs are here with Zen
    • With Lenovo and Dell both on board with Premium 1S models built on Threadripper PRO, AMD’s market share on a growth path
    • Don’t forget potential of Ryzen Pro in mobile and lower-end fixed segments
• GPU attach rates: professional discrete vs. consumer discrete vs. integrated
• ECC memory attach
  • Workstation-specific component attach rate data illustrates the “gray area” blurring workstations and (Creator) PCs
• The Creator PC: pushing the bounds of a branded workstation
  • Fixed Creator PCs versus workstations
    • Fixed Sub-entry 1S segment share shrinks in Q4’22, taking the Creator PC share down with it … most likely due to HP de-emphasizing Z1 as a “workstation”
  • Notebook Creator PCs vs. mobile workstations
  • An alternate workstation market history: adjusting for pure PC platforms and Creator PC systems
• Vendor market share
  • Dell pads to its leading market share in Q4
  • Notable vendor strengths by platform (and influenced by geos)
  • Apple’s Mac Pro and MacBook Pro
• Datacenter workstations
  • A word on remote computing with respect to the workstation market post-pandemic
• Workstation revenue and ASPs
  • Mobile vs. fixed revenue
  • Fixed unit and revenue distribution by price tiers
  • Mobile unit and revenue distribution by price tiers
• Workstation shipments by vertical
• Shipments by geography (Tier 1 only)
  • Overarching trends in geographic distribution
  • Mobile vs. fixed distribution by global geo
  • Regional distribution of fixed workstations
  • Regional distribution of mobile workstations
  • Dell reinforces US dominance in Q4’22
  • Dell takes EMEA market leadership for first time in decades … will it hold?
  • A 3-way logjam for leadership in APexJ
  • Japan a historical HP stronghold
  • HP making gains in ROW
  • EMEA distribution by sub-region
    • Mobile vs. fixed: EMEA sub-region breakdown
    • Workstation vendor shares per EMEA sub-region (Tier 1 only)
    • APexJ distribution by sub-region (Tier 1)
  • APexJ still growing fastest and not just China — check out India’s performance — but lockdowns (again) dampening the recent pace
  • Lenovo the leader in China … HP rising off lows
  • HP coming on strong in India as of late
  • Rest of ApexJ vendor distribution
  • Mobile vs. fixed: APexJ sub-region breakdown
• Full-year calendar 2022 results for workstations
• Outlook on the workstation market
  • Market prospects in a vacuum: why workstations — in some form — should remain a healthy market for as far as we can see
    • Has the pandemic permanently increased the number of mobile-exclusive workstation users?
    • Are mobile workstations as desktop replacements a market boon or not?
  • Some market drags to consider
  • The macro: overarching economic considerations
  • The bottom line forecast: with two economic flavors
• Professional GPU market stalls further in Q4’22
  • Nvidia essentially owns the professional GPU market
    • Intel in the game with Arc Pro
  • Professional GPUs: the mobile module and add-in card GPU splits
  • Professional discrete add-in card breakdown
    • Mid-range professional add-in card GPUs now out-shipping Entry units … for good reason
  • Professional discrete GPU vendor shares per segment: all Nvidia everywhere
• Full-year calendar 2022 results for discrete workstation GPUs